I would choose manipulation as well. What does a "few drinks" to an AH mean? To me it means 2 beers, or 2 mixed drinks. To him it means he guzzled 5 shots of straight vodka rather than 8. I am often amazed how well he can lie on the spot. Now I know to trust my gut. I've always had suspicions. Once he told me I have been right about almost 100% of my suspicions. Trust yourself.