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-   -   What date will Dee74 reach 100,000 posts? (https://www.soberrecovery.com/forums/newcomers-recovery/342692-what-date-will-dee74-reach-100-000-posts.html)

Soberwolf 08-22-2014 05:18 AM

Just want to say a big thank you to dee

THANK YOU DEE !

LBrain 08-22-2014 05:50 AM


Originally Posted by Grungehead (Post 4853001)
Based on my scientific calculations Dee should hit the 100,000 post mark on January 18, 2015. If you look at Dee's statistics he has averaged 35 posts a day since he joined. Subtracting his current post count from 100,000 and then dividing by 35 gives me 150 days to reach 100K, and 150 days from today would be January 18th. :D

Did your scientific approach take into consideration that Dee was not always a forum moderator? 35/day is an average. Consider the first couple years or down times. Always throw out the highs and lows. If you are using a bell curve approach you may discover that over the past few years Dee has been posting 47 times a day if you slide the curve with time.
Also consider his latest remark of being away for perhaps two weeks coming up, and also factor in that Dee will catch a spring cold in December that may slow him down for a few days.

Also consider that I may have bribed Dee to get to 100,000 on January 17, 2015.

nigey1 08-22-2014 06:04 AM

It will be Feb 12th 2015 according to my gut instinct.

However, the smart money will be on me to make a late charge and pip him at the post. Better get cracking.

LBrain 08-22-2014 06:05 AM


Originally Posted by nigey1 (Post 4853898)
It will be Feb 12th 2015 according to my gut instinct.

However, the smart money will be on me to make a late charge and pip him at the post. Better get cracking.

Windows close in October.

Gilmer 08-22-2014 07:38 AM

I'll guess November 16, my one-year sober anniversary!

Altoids 08-22-2014 07:45 AM

This is a wonderful and funny thread. Dee ~ you are loved, respected and needed.

I'll guess Dec 1, 2014

soberjuly 08-22-2014 09:46 AM


Originally Posted by Marcher13 (Post 4853669)
It's hard to argue with Grungehead's brilliant logic but I will factor in the social variations. Thanksgiving and Christmas will bring even more members as will New Year, all of whom will benefit from Dee's care. Swings and roundabouts I know but factoring in the social swings and roundabouts, then closing my eyes and stabbing in the dark and guessing wildly I'll say January 3rd 2015.

Exactly what I was thinking. TG and the holidays will perhaps up the activity here.

soberjuly 08-22-2014 09:47 AM


Originally Posted by Gilmer (Post 4854051)
I'll guess November 16, my one-year sober anniversary!

That's my son's birthday...:)

Gilmer 08-22-2014 10:41 AM

It's also my husband's birthday!

soberjuly 08-22-2014 10:49 AM


Originally Posted by LBrain (Post 4853874)
Did your scientific approach take into consideration that Dee was not always a forum moderator? 35/day is an average. Consider the first couple years or down times. Always throw out the highs and lows. If you are using a bell curve approach you may discover that over the past few years Dee has been posting 47 times a day if you slide the curve with time.
Also consider his latest remark of being away for perhaps two weeks coming up, and also factor in that Dee will catch a spring cold in December that may slow him down for a few days.

Also consider that I may have bribed Dee to get to 100,000 on January 17, 2015.

Thanks LBrain...this made me laugh.

Your pick, January 17th, is the 21 year anniversary of the Northridge, Ca earthquake (I was living there at the time attending Cal State, Northridge)...just a date etched in my brain! I have some claustrophobia issues because of it. I went to an open house at my daughter's new school on Wednesday, the teacher paused to talk in a narrow hall and I had parents ahead and behind and inside I could feel the panic swelling up. I looked at the ceiling and whispered to my husband, this group needs to start moving again because I am feeling trapped. If too many people enter an elevator, I have to get out. The earthquake happened at 4:31am and we had no power and I had to crawl out of my apartment in the pitch dark, after being thrown out of the bed, feeling the roof was going to collapse. Ok, sorry! It was kinda healthy revisiting that event.


soberjuly 08-22-2014 10:51 AM


Originally Posted by Gilmer (Post 4854402)
It's also my husband's birthday!

oh weird! my son is Nov. 16, 2000

biminiblue 08-22-2014 10:54 AM

I have to revise my date. I didn't know Dee was moving and he's offline.

Three posts in two days means I am out of the running for the new Cadillac (that was the prize, right?) - he'll never get to 100,000 by Sept 29 now.

Sabotage! :lol:

soberjuly 08-22-2014 12:32 PM

1 Attachment(s)

Originally Posted by biminiblue (Post 4854429)
I have to revise my date. I didn't know Dee was moving and he's offline.

Three posts in two days means I am out of the running for the new Cadillac (that was the prize, right?) - he'll never get to 100,000 by Sept 29 now.

Sabotage! :lol:

is anyone gonna keep track? any retentive types?

if I win, I'm gonna send Dee an SF coffee mug...how do you like them apples, that may be better than a bribe...LBrain...:)

soberjuly 08-22-2014 12:33 PM

1 Attachment(s)
or maybe that is a bribe?

Marcher13 08-22-2014 04:21 PM


Originally Posted by LBrain (Post 4853874)
Also consider that I may have bribed Dee to get to 100,000 on January 17, 2015.

Excellent point LBrain. Hmm I wonder what Dee's favourite flavour of cake is ...

courage2 08-22-2014 06:38 PM


Originally Posted by Grungehead (Post 4853001)
Based on my scientific calculations Dee should hit the 100,000 post mark on January 18, 2015. If you look at Dee's statistics he has averaged 35 posts a day since he joined. Subtracting his current post count from 100,000 and then dividing by 35 gives me 150 days to reach 100K, and 150 days from today would be January 18th. :D

I get 164 days from today, Feb. 2, 2015.

MyTime86 08-22-2014 10:08 PM

Jan 7th 2015.. My bday

BruceSA 08-22-2014 11:53 PM

Dee, you're a saint and a Man-On-A-Horse!

Quite honestly I don't mind when you reach that figure!

EVERY post you make has wisdom behind it.

Keep going, please. You keep us strong.

All the best,
Bruce.

Bruno1979 09-29-2014 01:38 AM

I've changed my guess to Feb 23rd. :herewego

Dee74 09-29-2014 02:10 AM

No changesies Bruno :lmao

D


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