From a strategic point of view: He couldn't wait two months so he could make the argument that he's been sober for a year? That to me is a warning flag.
There was a study done a while back which found that:
- Only about a third of people who are abstinent less than a year will remain abstinent.
- For those who achieve a year of sobriety, less than half will relapse.
- If you can make it to 5 years of sobriety, your chance of relapse is less than 15 percent.
The study also concluded that the risk of relapse was problematic in the first three years of sobriety - then it stabilized.
Here's a written blurb about it (this is where I got the bullet points from):
https://www.psychologytoday.com/blog...ddicts-relapse
And the original paper (which discussed how relapse rates stabilized around the three year mark):
SAGE Journals: Your gateway to world-class journal research