Originally Posted by
MythOfSisyphus 
I just don't really see the risk vs reward analysis of moderation
Sums it up for me. My potential gain is a mild buzz now and again. My potential loss is everything I cherish. My chances of success based on 20+ years of attempting to moderate - estimated at about 5%.
Total sucker bet.
You would have to do your own analysis, of course, but that seems like a reasonable way to model it - potential gain vs potential loss weighted by probability of success.