I went to an AA meeting on Monday for the first time in nearly 2 yrs (I only went the first couple of months I was sober) and there were a handful of newcomers at the meeting as it was a NC meeting. Every one of those newcomers when it was there turn to talk started out with "this time" each of them had been in and out of AA a couple of times; and I think most of the "oldtimers" that talked related stories of relapse as well. So apprently relapse is about the # 1 cause of drinking.... and from all the stories I've ever heard it does seem that people start to thinking "well I've been sober this long I could probably just have 1". I have little patience, and no sympathy, for those relapse even though I know I could one day be in their shoes.